Scenario Analyzer

What it does

The Scenario Analyzer skill enables an AI agent to analyze news headlines and generate comprehensive investment scenario reports spanning up to 18 months. It leverages two specialized agents, scenario-analyst for primary analysis and strategy-reviewer for critical review, producing a multi-faceted report in Japanese. The process includes headline parsing, event categorization, reference reading, and integrates the outputs of both agents into a final deliverable.

When to use it

• You want to analyze the potential investment impact stemming from news headlines over a medium to long term (up to 18 months).
• You need multiple scenarios constructed for a future timeframe.
• You require an analysis that organizes sector and stock impacts across primary, secondary, and tertiary levels.
• A comprehensive analysis including a second opinion is needed.
• You specifically need the report output in Japanese.

Key capabilities

• Headline Analysis: Parses user-provided headlines to extract key entities, numerical data, and actions.
• Event Type Classification: Categorizes headlines into types like financial policy, geopolitics, regulation, technology, commodities, or corporate events.
• Reference Reading: Loads relevant references based on the event type (past patterns, sector sensitivity matrix, scenario playbooks).
• Scenario Generation: Constructs Base/Bull/Bear scenarios with assigned probabilities.
• Impact Analysis: Analyzes impacts on sectors at primary, secondary, and tertiary levels.
• Stock Selection: Identifies 3-5 positive and negative impact stocks (US market only).
• Second Opinion Review: A strategy-reviewer agent critiques the initial analysis for omissions, biases, and logical consistency.
• Japanese Language Output: All reports are generated in Japanese.

Example prompts

• /headline-scenario-analyzer "Fed raises interest rates by 50bp, signals more hikes ahead"
• /headline-scenario-analyzer "China announces new tariffs on US semiconductors"
• /headline-scenario-analyzer "OPEC+ agrees to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day"

Tips & gotchas

• The skill requires a news headline as input. Ensure the prompt includes a valid headline for analysis.
• Analysis is focused on investment scenarios and primarily covers US market stock selections.
• Reports are generated in Japanese.